Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset] (ICPSR doi:10.11588/data/10004)

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Part 1: Document Description
Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
Part 5: Other Study-Related Materials
Entire Codebook

Document Description

Citation

Title:

Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]

Identification Number:

doi:10.11588/data/10004

Distributor:

heiDATA

Date of Distribution:

2014-06-18

Version:

3

Bibliographic Citation:

Trautmann, Stefan T.; Kuilen, Gijs van de, 2014, "Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]", https://doi.org/10.11588/data/10004, heiDATA, V3, UNF:5:rdLqOxsqtpO3QKanCTJFPw== [fileUNF]

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]

Identification Number:

doi:10.11588/data/10004

Authoring Entity:

Trautmann, Stefan T. (Alfred-Weber-Institute of Economics)

Kuilen, Gijs van de (Alfred-Weber-Institute of Economics)

Producer:

Trautmann, Stefan T.

Kuilen, Gijs van de

Date of Production:

2014

Distributor:

heiDATA

Date of Distribution:

2014-06-18

Study Scope

Keywords:

Social Sciences, belief measurement, subjective probability, scoring rules, outcome matching, probability matching

Topic Classification:

D81, C83, C91

Abstract:

We pit non-incentivized introspection against five revealed preference mechanisms (“truth serums”) in the elicitation of beliefs in a simple two-player game. We measure the additivity, the predictive power for own behaviour, and the accuracy of each method. Beliefs from incentivized methods are better predictors of participants’ own behaviour compared to introspection. However, introspection performs equally well as the truth serums in terms of accuracy and additivity. We also find that correction for risk aversion improves the additivity of scoring-rule belief reports.

Methodology and Processing

File Description--f145

File: data_control.tab

  • Number of cases: 162

  • No. of variables per record: 20

  • Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:5:P2FZD04x5K8+kaZwkl17XA==

File Description--f146

File: data_orign.tab

  • Number of cases: 366

  • No. of variables per record: 30

  • Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:5:Lvm+8FYirprlYzeXpqMblA==

Variable Description

List of Variables:

Variables

Id

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Variable Format: numeric

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Role

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Variable Format: numeric

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Treatment

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball1

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball3

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball4

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball5

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball6

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball3c

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Variable Format: numeric

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Achosen

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept3

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept4

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Accept5

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Accept6

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Accept7

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ultres

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Variable Format: numeric

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add1

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Variable Format: numeric

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add2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Id

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Variable Format: numeric

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Role

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Variable Format: numeric

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Treatment

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball1

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball3

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball4

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball5

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball6

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ball3c

f146 Location:

Variable Format: numeric

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Achosen

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Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:5:Q0Vrger00vPRYrbFusKHJg==

Accept1

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept3

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept4

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept5

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Variable Format: numeric

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Accept6

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ultres

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Variable Format: numeric

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Ce

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall1

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall2

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall3

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall4

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall5

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall6

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Variable Format: numeric

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CorBall3c

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Variable Format: numeric

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add1

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Variable Format: numeric

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add2

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coradd1

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Variable Format: numeric

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coradd2

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Variable Format: numeric

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Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Introspection.ztt

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Introspection_ztt_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

LZA_format_description_stata115.tar.gz

Text:

This file is only for internal use

Notes:

application/x-gzip

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

OutcomeMatching.ztt

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

OutcomeMatching_ztt_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

ProbabilityMatching.ztt

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

ProbabilityMatching_ztt_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

QuadraticScoringRuleProbability.ztt

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

QuadraticScoringRuleProbability_ztt_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

QuadraticScoringRule.ztt

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

QuadraticScoringRule_ztt_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Questionnaire.ztq

Text:

Original z-Tree file

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Questionnaire_ztq_export.txt

Text:

Text export of z-Tree file

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

readme.pdf

Text:

Notes:

application/pdf

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Tables.do

Text:

STATA do file

Notes:

text/x-stata-syntax; charset=US-ASCII

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

TvdK2015_Analyses in Excel.xlsx

Notes:

application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Tvdk2015_Tables and Tests.do

Notes:

application/x-stata-syntax