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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset] |
Identification Number: |
doi:10.11588/data/10004 |
Distributor: |
heiDATA |
Date of Distribution: |
2014-06-18 |
Version: |
3 |
Bibliographic Citation: |
Trautmann, Stefan T.; Kuilen, Gijs van de, 2014, "Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]", https://doi.org/10.11588/data/10004, heiDATA, V3, UNF:5:rdLqOxsqtpO3QKanCTJFPw== [fileUNF] |
Citation |
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Title: |
Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset] |
Identification Number: |
doi:10.11588/data/10004 |
Authoring Entity: |
Trautmann, Stefan T. (Alfred-Weber-Institute of Economics) |
Kuilen, Gijs van de (Alfred-Weber-Institute of Economics) |
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Producer: |
Trautmann, Stefan T. |
Kuilen, Gijs van de |
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Date of Production: |
2014 |
Software used in Production: |
3.2.11 |
Distributor: |
heiDATA |
Distributor: |
HeiDATA: Heidelberg Research Data Repository |
Access Authority: |
Trautmann, Stefan T. |
Date of Deposit: |
2014-05-26 |
Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.11588/data/10004 |
Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences, belief measurement, subjective probability, scoring rules, outcome matching, probability matching |
Topic Classification: |
D81, C83, C91 |
Abstract: |
We pit non-incentivized introspection against five revealed preference mechanisms (“truth serums”) in the elicitation of beliefs in a simple two-player game. We measure the additivity, the predictive power for own behaviour, and the accuracy of each method. Beliefs from incentivized methods are better predictors of participants’ own behaviour compared to introspection. However, introspection performs equally well as the truth serums in terms of accuracy and additivity. We also find that correction for risk aversion improves the additivity of scoring-rule belief reports. |
Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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Related Publications |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Trautmann, S.T., Kuilen, G. van de (2014): Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums, The Economic Journal. |
Identification Number: |
10.1111/ecoj.12160 |
Bibliographic Citation: |
Trautmann, S.T., Kuilen, G. van de (2014): Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums, The Economic Journal. |
File Description--f145 |
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File: data_control.tab |
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UNF:5:P2FZD04x5K8+kaZwkl17XA== |
File Description--f146 |
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File: data_orign.tab |
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Text: |
Original z-Tree file |
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Text export of z-Tree file |
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LZA_format_description_stata115.tar.gz |
Text: |
This file is only for internal use |
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OutcomeMatching.ztt |
Text: |
Original z-Tree file |
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Text: |
Text export of z-Tree file |
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text/plain; charset=US-ASCII |
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ProbabilityMatching.ztt |
Text: |
Original z-Tree file |
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application/octet-stream |
Label: |
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Text export of z-Tree file |
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Original z-Tree file |
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Original z-Tree file |
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Text: |
Text export of z-Tree file |
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Label: |
QuadraticScoringRule_ztt_export.txt |
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Text export of z-Tree file |
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Original z-Tree file |
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Text export of z-Tree file |
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readme.pdf |
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Tables.do |
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STATA do file |
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